I don't think it has anything to do with some lack of specificity of the definition of the problem. The whole reason the "Monty Hall Problem" is a brain teaser is that it is counter-intuitive.
I would then say it is counter-intuitive because we automatically assume "additional information" is "useful additional information". Here, the revelation of the goat behind Door No. 3 is additional information which is not actually useful. Let me illustrate....
Suppose, rather than revealing the goat behind Door No. 3, the host simply says, "Rather than keeping what's behind Door No 1, would you like to take the best of what's behind Door No. 2 and Door No. 3?"
You see, at this point, a goat is assuredly behind one or the other door. The revelation of which is entirely immaterial and therefore useless. To be more direct, if you switch now, you get the best of two doors, or a 2/3 chance at the prize.
This result, of course, matches up with the combinatoric analysis.
You know, the other item of interest in that short video was when someone mentioned the petrodollar. Really, the host just said the word and the guest said "Exactly". It's a touchstone in conspiracy circles, and we've all heard about it for years and decades.
While yes, of course petroleum will forever be traded somewhere in dollars, the operational concept of the petrodollar died over the past couple of years. Only a handful of people can be said to have noticed.
My point is that when the Elites take a big "L", They just stop talking about it. In turn, both normies and conspiracists have nothing to react to in the headlines and just continue on with whatever ideas they already had.
It's quite startling to see how effective this simple technique really is.
Off-topic, but I wanted to rant a bit about how "They" manipulate the public consciousness. Specifically, when he comments, "The important thing in the Middle East is the Persian Gulf, cause that's where the oil is." That message has been drilled into all of us.
While that statement is technically true, it's also been irrelevant for some years now. This article discusses some relevant info, but I'll take a microscope to it:
Did The U.S. Become The World’s Top Oil Producer Under President Trump? (9/29/2020)
If you look at the date, this was approaching the 2020 election when it was fresh in many people's minds that, "At long last, Trump made America not only energy-independent, but a big exporter". This obvious progressive actively sought to destroy that notion with this article.
This guy is a "chemical engineer covering the energy sector" and a Senior Contributor to Forbes, where the article was republished. You think he'd have some kind of expertise, right? A sense of that expertise is suggested when he complains that:
First, the graphic isn’t reporting barrels of petroleum. It is reporting energy content. When we talk about how much oil Saudi Arabia produces, we talk about barrels. Nobody says that Saudi Arabia produces 25 quadrillion British thermal units of petroleum.
The statement is nonsense, of course. The graphic itself says it's reporting "petroleum and natural gas production", but those two products are individually reported by units of barrels and MBTUs. As the products are virtually always found and extracted together, to combine them into a single figure for "production" we have to change the units for at least one (natural gas is often converted to "BOE", or "barrels of oil equivalent"). Does this dipshit really not know about this standard practice?
What to notice at the current time, though, is that no one in the mainstream makes any mention of entire subject. Why? The issue of petroleum production and energy-independence have been almost completely forgotten by the public. Were they to be discussed, the argument would be all on the side of the US leaving the Middle East entirely, and leaving Israel to lie in the bed it's made.
It's actually quite funny because this same douche begins that exact case in another post:
EIA Confirms U.S. Producing More Oil Than Any Country in History (3/15/2024)
What a world we live in. Okay, that's out of my system!
I think what's notable here is that we're even beyond the charade of "someone getting in trouble for this". We should recognize that among the populace the sides are already chosen, so to speak. No such pantomime is necessary to fool those who are already fooled, or sufficient to fool those who are not.
"They" know this and act accordingly so as not to waste resources. We should do the same.
The paper has one big omission, but I cut them some slack on it because pretty much zero other conspiracy theorists have discussed the issue, let alone offered an account. It should be covered in this section:
- All the harms reported can be explained by a combination of:
Most people can set their minds back to the period of about Nov 2019-Jan 2020, before any of us had heard "COVID" uttered aloud. Many friends and family or even ourselves became ill with something along the lines of "the worst flu I ever had". Listening to back catalog podcasts from this period and being alert to the issue, I heard numerous reports of it.
People were sick as a dog for about a week, then recovered fully. I never heard a report of anyone dying, but one podcaster--a robust, middle-aged Texan just returned from an out-of-state backcountry hunting trip, ended up in the hospital for eight days. They asked him over and over if he had been to College Station, since that was where Texas' only case of COVID had been reported.
The point is, I would suspect some sort of very large-scale bioweapon or chemical weapon deployment, but there is virtually no discussion of this I could link us to for more information. The pandemic was fake, sure, but many will have personal experience with the phenomenon I'm pointing out here.
(BTW: I'm firmly in the camp of "viruses don't exist and thus are not contagious pathogens".)
The key underlying principle here--and it is perhaps the one which defines what a "progressive" really is--is that they never acknowledge any limit to their power. Even explicit and specific limitations are only practical obstacles.
I don't think any of this is conscious, either, along the lines of, "Let's just see what I can get away with." Rather, I think in their minds there is only power, who wields it, and who shall be subject to it.
Unless the future is altered, this is a sneak peek at coming attractions for all the rest of us.
It cannot be under-emphasized that this is enforcer class doing it to one of their own for demonstrating resistance. The end state is nothing other than complete--if not enthusiastic--subjugation of self.
Tartaria is a key element in the big picture of human history. I would go further to say that it is actually the crucial reason underlying the Russia-Ukraine War, so it has direct relevance even now.
Study of Tartaria is picking up speed every day. I only heard about two or three years ago and now it's everywhere. I consider conpiracists who haven't heard about it to be well behind the curve.
All that being the case, "They" have begun their information war. We went past ignoring it, are currently in the phase of ridiculing it, and are beginning to see "muddying the waters".
With that perspective, you really have to take note of just how many active disinfo agents are floating around.
The RFK assassination was faked. which you can tell by careful examination of a couple of the key photos. They also don't match up with the "eyewitness testimony". But examine those photos while you can, because:
New Twist in Kennedy Mystery : Photo Negatives of Robert F. Kennedy’s Assassination Disappear (LA Times 1/18/1996)
Whodathunk? It's beyond belief (to me) that RFK Jr. has never come across this theory, but if anyone is out there thinking Jr. is controlled op meant to drain attention and support from Trump, you can add this to your pile of evidence against him.
Fun fact: This would imply that Sirhan Sirhan may indeed have been mind-controlled, but his gun would have been loaded with blanks and he was only there to serve as a distraction. The idea of a mind-controlled assassin came to our popular culture in the 1962 movie "The Manchurian Candidate" by John Frankenheimer. In the movie, the target is a candidate for President.
Well, guess who RFK stayed with the night before and who drove him to his date with destiny at the Ambassador Hotel? You got it! John Frankenheimer
Frankenheimer was devastated by RFK's assassination in June 1968, due in part to his proximity to the event. Kennedy spent the night before the California primary in Frankenheimer’s Malibu home. He had first been scheduled to accompany Kennedy through the Ambassador Hotel after the candidate's victory speech in the California primaries. Early news reports listed Frankenheimer as one of the wounded in Kennedy's entourage. Frankenheimer and spouse Evans Evans were waiting at a side entrance of the Ambassador Hotel to pick up Kennedy when he emerged from the press conference and drive him to their home.
Maybe John and Evans Evans (?) actually did give Bobby a lift back that night.
It looks to me now to be that the MV Dali was remotely piloted into the bridge and no one was on board at the time. It's an application of the old pirate saying, "Non-existent men tell no tales."
The explanation for the MV Dali power loss under that thesis is simply that the remote hijackers "flicked the lights on and off" specifically and deliberately to create the circumstances for conspiracy theories.
Here, They did it again to the APL Qingdao just to convince normies that "ships lose power next to bridges all the time". They also wish to convince conspiracists that hijackers have the ability to interfere with power on ships, when the truth is of course far beyond that.
The rumor of the "ghost vessel" has been around since just after the event itself:
White Hats Suggest Dali Unmanned at Time of Collision (RRN 3/27/2024)
At 6:30 a.m. Tuesday, U.S. Army Cyber Command (ARCYBER), which routinely monitors Deep State chatter, overheard a telephone conversation fragment between a National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) official and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. On it, an anxious Buttigieg shrieks at the NTSB investigator: “Unmanned? No bridge crew? That’s not a possibility, so don’t spread it around. In fact, forget you mentioned it.”
Well, it sounds nuts and can't possibly be independently substantiated. That is, until we get this innocuous article a week later in the mainstream press:
If you examine the article carefully, you'll see there's no mention of anyone actually speaking to any member of the crew: no interviews by investigators, no comments to the press, no contacts with friends or family or port workers. (Similarly, in this APL Qingdao incident, we get a report from a tracking company from a report by a tugboat captain, not a statement from a ship's officer, company spokesperson, or investigator.)
Only one person single person even claims to have been aboard the Dali, in an indirect and bizarre way. I would say her statement is weird because it was made-up and she's a bad liar:
The NTSB's chair Jennifer Homendy did not say when the crew of the Dali would be allowed to leave, but said they had electricity and food, and appeared to be settling into life aboard the ship.
Why would they not have electricity and food? Why would they have to "settle in"? They live aboard this ship or similar vessels for weeks or months at a time, do they not? Then she adds:
'The cook was cooking when I got onboard. It smelled very good.'
So this ship crashed and, rather than viewing the damage or speaking with the officers, she goes and sees what's cooking (literally)? That dumb detail was the one that was supposed to subconsciously convince us her dumb story was real.
Glad you found it useful!
Actually, I had just been wondering if anyone even read it. Since it was a bit off-topic, I thought everyone might have just read the post title, dug that Helios took one, hit upvote and moved on... lol
Always look at the depth of the quake. Anything under 10 km should draw attention as artificial, either HAARP-induced or underground nuclear detonation.
The linked article lists it as 9.7 km, but they're lying and trying to push it deeper to avoid suspicion. The wiki page for the quake admits it to be a very shallow 4.7 km, and This database entry lists it as at an even more shallow 4 km. Wiki also states it's the biggest quake to hit the area in two and a half centuries, so it should draw our due attention.
The USGS themselves, in a very roundabout way, admit to the anomalous nature of sub-10km quakes in this article:
Why do so many earthquakes occur at a depth of 10km?
Ten kilometers is a "fixed depth". Sometimes data are too poor to compute a reliable depth for an earthquake. In such cases, the depth is assigned to be 10 km. Why that number? In many areas around the world, reliable depths tend to average 10 km or close to it.
Shallow quakes are "masked" in this way, making their detection even more rare. That paragraph ends with this:
So if we don't know the depth, 10 km is a reasonable guess. The USGS used to use 33 km, but increased understanding indicates that 10 km is more likely.
Meaningful? Who knows, but funny to see!
If I had to bet, I'd say one or more DUMBs just got nuked. We'd have to look at the seismographs for the hallmark sharp onset to be sure, but I'm way too lazy to do that.
Additional info casting a lot of shade on this shady organization:
Why Palestinians don’t trust World Central Kitchen, with Ali Abunimah and Asa Winstanley (YT 4/4/2024)
I actually skipped past that video on my YT homepage, dismissing it as some kind of bizarre and desperate Zio black propaganda. Turns out nothing is too devious and diabolical for this crowd.
Yes, I basically would have given the same answer, that it stems from some sort of semi-conscious instinct.
We see the fabric of society, even civilization itself, fraying and unraveling before our eyes, and the reaction is to resist it and move in the opposite direction, cleaning up our acts in even the smallest ways.
Frankly, these dark times have caused me to become friendlier and cheerier than I ever have in my life. I've got a smile for everyone I see, and a kind word and a humorous comment for everyone I chance to talk to. I feel this deep, inner drive to do that, like it's the least I can do for humanity.
Sun Tzu pointed out that all warfare is based on deception, and what is the ultimate deception, even beyond anything discussed in his book? To keep the enemy unaware that he is under attack.
Even just a few decades ago, only a handful were aware that there were active, organized, covert campaigns against various groups. Now, everywhere you look, hundreds of millions are aware of such things. Nothing seems to stand in the way of there soon being billions.
If there's a point to the wildfire of that awareness, I completely fail to see what it is.
Over just the last few years, I've really slowed down on sch things and I'm conscious of it every time I do it. I'll even substitute by actually saying "OMG" or "herr merr gerd" out loud, and--while such expressions are humorous in themselves--I'm quite aware of what I'm avoiding.
Some years ago, I stumbled across the theory that Jackie did it, and the main source was on this site: http://jackiekilledjfk.webs.com/. That site died fairly recently, but you can still get to the content on archives.
As shocking as that sounds, the thesis is surprisingly simple and the evidence for it fairly straightforward. After that, I started paying very close attention to researchers discussing the assassination, to see how they addressed that same evidence. Plot twist: they did not.
What I came to realize was this: in order to cover up the truth, the CIA themselves (presumably) became the overwhelming contributors to conspiracy research on JFK. At a guess, they're responsible for maybe 80% of the primary research, then perhaps a further 15% of "honest" is based on that. The point is, though, that with all the voluminous publication, it is crafted so that none of it will lead back to the ultimate truth about Jackie. Here we are 60 years later and we see that it has been incredibly effective.
I view what goes on with Fetzer and so many others that fall into this trap as a "cycles within cycles" phenomenon. That is, suppose you think that the planets go around in perfect circles just as God intended. Inevitably, you'll begin to see anomalies. The fix? Well, as they go around in big perfect circles, they also go around in little perfect circles on that track, just as God intended. And then maybe also in smaller perfect circles than that. See how it goes? The thought never occurs, "Maybe it's not perfect circles?"
So we end up with racks and shelves of JFK research, and all of it could be true but it will never get you to where you should go.
If you're interested, I somehow stumbled across someone summarizing the Jackie story on some kind of rando sports podcast a year ago:
Conspiracy Theories with Cousin Brother Matt: The Assassination of JFK
Chris Knowles, for all his knowledge of symbology, appears to have skipped over an important interpretation in the numerology of this event.
He identifies that the destruction was just after the bridge's 47th birthday, and then loosely attributes that to some association with Freemasons and Euclid's 47th Proposition.
This strikes me as needlessly esoteric, given a much more recent and frequently used "signature". That is, the National Security Act was passed in 1947, giving the US and the rest of the world the global Gitmo Nation in which we live today. It was Year One of the modern CIA, responsible for so many of these "events". They love to sign their work and, once alerted to this, you will find "47" occurring with astonishing frequency.
The question arises: can Chris Knowles, with all his recognition of symbolism and apparent depth of knowledge, really be unaware of this notation of "47", or consider it unimportant to mention in this context? I leave it to everyone to decide for themselves whether that reasonably may be the case.
FWIW to anyone, I'm a big fan of Jim Fetzer and have followed his work for many years--since Duff and the VT days--but I'm certain he's way, way, way off on this. When I hear him talk about the JFK assassination, it's so erroneous I feel personally, well, unsettled is perhaps the word.
He's so far off that I've tried fitting the thesis that he was an extremely deep cover disinfo agent, but would They go so far as to have him write an authoritative expose on Sandy Hoax, then try to erase it from existence and preclude anyone from ever knowing it was written? No, that's way too far.
Jim Fetzer is highly intelligent, knowledgeable, and experienced--among the very best out there, IMHO--but he can still get things dead wrong--again, IMHO. I suppose the point here is that it would be instructive to examine exactly how that state of affairs came to be, but the much bigger point is that all of us should step carefully in our research, most particularly when we're sure we have it right.
This story is floating around out there, from a site most discount as fictional, and even the article itself admits the rumor has not been confirmed:
White Hats Suggest Dali Unmanned at Time of Collision (RRN 3/27/2024)
The remote piloting of a "ghost ship" to a fairly small target is probably not that easy, so that would explain the steering corrections. The power loss would then just be someone flicking the switch on and off to create the cover story. Then they had to erase part of the black box to destroy record of all the things the crew would never do and lack of actions they would certainly take.
And supposedly a harbor pilot was in control, so shouldn't we have heard all about him? You know, the standard rumors about how he was secretly gay and suicidal an a religious zealot? Nope, no discussion of him.
Maybe that's because there was no pilot on board, or anyone else.
Very good video. Always interesting to hear someone competent talk about their area of expertise and experience.
To back up another step before we even get to the issue of steering, we should ask why any steering was necessary, even if the power went out? That is, the ship was running straight ahead directly between the pylons with the rudder presumably amidships when the power went out. I further suspect the rudder is basically "locked" into place when the hydraulic pumps are not actually running.
Given their incredible momentum, turning, slowing, and stopping huge ships like that are big tasks. I wouldn't be surprised if the stopping distance for such a ship would be half a mile or more and several minutes before you'd ever have to think about it drifting around in the current, which--given that it was in a river--would just be further towards the sea.
You're right, they're definitely all over the world, and just as a preview of a future post....
I knew these people came originally from England, but I have so little familiarity with that history. Then recently, someone mentioned the current Queen and I suddenly realized her name is Camilla Parker Bowles. "Oh FFS", I thought, "that's gotta just be a coincidence, right?"
So I did the research and you can guess the result.
What we're seeing are Christian Zionists, and it's becoming clear that the existence and influence of this group was one of the Big Secrets all along. It's not that you get censored for mentioning them, it's just that somehow, some way, no one ever does. That's how the Big Secrets are actually handled.
You know who apparently has turned out to be one, of all people? The American Badass himself, Kid Rock:
Joe Rogan and Kid Rock clash over how Israel should win war against Gaza: ‘That’s actually a war crime’ (NY Post 2/26/2024)
Kid Rock and Joe Rogan clashed over the Israel-Hamas war, with the rock star declaring on Rogan’s podcast that Israel should begin killing civilians in Gaza up to “40,000 a f–king time” if it wants to win the war. “Only wars we won were f–king ones where we were the most brutal motherf–kers on the planet,” Kid Rock said on Thursday’s episode of “The Joe Rogan Experience.”
I mean, where in the hell else would someone you presume to be an America Firster get such outrageous ideas about a foreign war between Heebs and Muzzies? Plus, who the fuck is "we" exactly, Mr. Rock?
Christian Zionists is your answer.
This is a real left turn, but under the "Ancient Aliens" hypothesis, you would see that they needed to feed a large and concentrated slave population. The best way was not through hunting and gathering, but by the introduction of what we would now refer to as agriculture.
Most particularly, this was through the introduction of grains. If you research the domestication of primary cereal grains like wheat, corn, and rice, you'll find that the story gets real hazy about exactly how these were domesticated. They essentially just give up trying to explain it.
For more direct evidence, one can look at an Akkadian cylinder seal memorializing this, cataloged as VA/243 and known informally as "The Granting of the Plow".
Also, more in-depth research shows that the development of agriculture coincides with the first passage of Nibiru (7400 BC) after the Great Flood of Noah (11000 BC).
All this information is, of course, smeared out and obfuscated by the mainstream.