They've clearly tried to shut down O'Keefe.... So, why haven't they done worse? Probably because he pushed passed the barrier of insignificance such that they can't just disappear him without making him more influential. He also likely passes a treasure trove of unpublished insurance docs.
At a high level this is confusing because of the idea of informative and conditioning. As humans we're naturally used to explaining things based upon events that have happened this is a hack that enables us to process information. Unfortunately it backfired in cases such as these.
The probability of it being behind your door (1/3) or the other doors (2/3) doesn't change, it's independent of the events. When a door is opened we know that it is not behind one door so the 2/3 probability now only has a degree of freedom of 0 whereas before it has a df of 1. So the offs haven't changed but the df has.
Here's another way to look at it. The average probability does change however (1/3 + 2/3)/2 --> 1/2. This differs from what it was at the beginning (1/3+1/3+1/3)/3-->1/3 because there are fewer degrees of freedom.
So notice there at first there were N-1 or 2 degrees of freedom for the entire context. And N-2=1 for the other doors. Opening a door removes the only degree of freedom for the subgroup. It is this added constraint that increases the rate at which you can infer about this subgroup, especially upon the last guess. It has no more degrees of freedom to vary.
And autos. Though some of that is due to scarcity. What's interesting is that commodities are soaring. I think we'll see inflation continue in those and consumer goods but deflation in discretionary and luxury. Japan 1980s 🤷♂️
Don't own nothing Zh/https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/americas-minsky-moment-approaches
It's crazy his fast they were to downplay the idea that it was bad actors. Supposedly DOT was informed but the cars were still allowed to cross the bridge. It was a mass casualty event but they're not really focusing on this instead it's all "what does this mean for your consumer goods" inflation justification propaganda.
NIH was responsible for safety and efficacy of the jab and for compelling its use. Yet they held the patent from their research going back 20+ years and made $400 million licensing it!
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/nih-refuses-release-details-covid-19-vaccine-royalty-agreement