Tyler's video in question https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cubO0lhOMcs
To your other question, it's hard to say. Historically those go down in a major crash. But do they stay down? Probably not. I assume they at least want to shake alot of people out during a panic. So I'm hedged with put options on tech to weather that storm.
The mod and main posters there are two people who hate my guts for calling them out. RealWildRanter and JG5. Both of which love defending the Catholic Church for some odd reason. One who worships Hitler as the Second Coming.
This is just one of many bad signs for our fake economy. It seems like the rug is going to be pulled in 2026 or 2027.
So, vaccine poisoned by state mandate, mental health problems as a result, then death by the state. What a world.
I'm predicting a take over of Mexico, and the Mexicans will pay for it. But seriously, all these terrorist attacks in Jalisco are going to make their people more sympathetic to Trump, especially if the Mexican government flubs it up.
North American Technate and North American Union include Mexico.
It's not clear whether he was just a client or a co-conspirator. Epstein's butler circled people's names who were involved in the operation, and Trump was circled.
But Epstein's butler died in prison shortly before Trump ran for office the first time.
Has to do with compliance with evil vs love of truth. That is not an IQ test.
I've met people firsthand who were better engineers than myself but they could not see the truth despite evidence presented.
This all seems like a nice distraction when they are desperately looking for one. "Throw out aliens, say Kurt Cobain was murdered, anything but more Epstein!"'
Kurt was spiritually aligned with the industry and an enemy of what is good. If he died, he died.
He might be the first person killed for getting pissed off over a record deal then.
All I see is another self destructive God hater who died at 27.
Doesn't blindly bend the knee? The guy was in full support of LGBT and hated Christianity. When did he rebel against the industry?
I guess it was time for another Epstein distraction.
After all the European support to Ukraine and sanctions of Russia they've given Russia an excuse for future military action against Europe.
It's a strange self fulfilling prophecy, but likely by design. Get the whites fighting each other and not calling out TPTB. Of course the Jews want the Whites neutralized, but God is in control, so ultimately I don't worry about the Jew's plans (or the Catholics or whoever).
This is not a good look for you.
It needs better accuracy
I'm sure Kosmos can do some great bs-ing that looks correct. It sounds like all it will be is a tool to get some scaffolds going which a real scientist can fill in.
"Self-driving labs" are already using AI to design and perform experiments
It doesn't seem to really be designing the experiments. The entire system is human designed by real scientists / engineers. The computer is processing data and then saying which (likely predefined) experiment it should "conduct next". And most of the innovation there seems to be the dynamic flow approach speeding things up.
That's a useful pattern recognition tool (ML), but it's not doing the same work that went into designing the self-driving system itself.
Computers beat humans at chess a long time ago.
Science is not chess. Science involves making observations then coming up with the chess board itself and testing if that board approximates reality well enough to be useful. A computer can be designed to calculate moves on an 8x8 grid, a very controlled environment that requires no deeper understanding. Science requires actually understanding concepts, which AIs can't do.
LLMs particularly are consensus driven machines. Consensus science is just the status quo.
At best an LLM will end up "coming up" with a new concept by ripping off some actual scientist in an unknown journal which it scraped data from.
If you're talking ML in general, they could design systems based on existing molecular models looking for certain types of new chemicals to synthesize. Ok, but big deal IMHO. Not going to cure cancer or make humans extinct. In fact the funny thing about cancer is (good) doctors have already figured out the cure, people just won't listen. It's not a magic drug , it's a holistic approach with fasting.
The entire industry is the boy who cried wolf, Elon was just one famous example. We could look at Altman saying "we know how to create AGI", CEOs saying "50% of our workforce will soon be AI" when no such thing happened the last 2 years, the various faked demos by major tech companies (highly misleading / deceptive tech demos), and so on. Elon is merely emblematic of the industry.
Now they're using robots with AI that make their own decisions...
Where, who? And working with humans? All I've seen are some laughable optimus demos, a crappy PR stunt by Boston Dynamics with a humanoid robot moving parts at Hyundai (in a very controlled low stakes area), and Boston Dynamics robots doing backflips. I'm yet to see robots making their own decisions and working with humans in manufacturing.
I think the huge amounts of money for energy are mainly to service billions of users.
If it's not worth the money then don't service those users, simple as that. Meanwhile OpenAI recently admitted they are implementing ads, which just a year prior Sam Altman said would mean they are getting desperate / looking for a last resort.
no law of the universe that prevents AI from getting smarter than humans
LLMs by their nature are dependent on human knowledge. They are not thinking, they process words that humans wrote and create a statistical model from it, to emulate that knowledge. It's a statistical model predicting outcomes based on accumulated human data.
If it feeds off its own data, it will go off into fantasy land due to its own hallucinations corrupting its training data.
Amazon already use autonomous robots
Manufacturers have been using robots for many decades now. What's new?
As for the humanoid portion, what percentage of that are they? 0.01% for beta testing perhaps?
At some point it might reach diminishing returns
That's where we are at. When you're adding in exponentially more money and electricity for linear improvements in the product the returns are diminishing.
And if you want to talk about actual dollar returns, there are no profits except for those selling chips. But every so often they come out with another "just wait 6-12 months, we're replacing most of your jobs". Believing the boy who cried wolf is just silly. These are companies who still can't make a profit saying this to stay relevant.
If an industry relies heavily on lies to get funding and stay relevant, that calls into question the entire narrative about it, especially in the near term. It's more than just months, AI companies have been playing the "6-12 more months" game for 4 years now.
We are seeing improvements in tools that help programmers and that's to be expected. Being able to actually replace them, let alone the even more enormous jump into autonomous robots (which could somehow replace migrants) is not even in the cards short of some miracle.
They've cranked their AI as far as it can go, spending more than any companies in history on capex. We're at the point some of them are even talking about building their own nuclear reactors because of the high energy demand. This is well into diminishing returns. It's exponentially more money and energy for linear (or logarithmic) gains.
Ok you're a bag holder, we get it.
Crash?
A crash is still a crash even if you have a cyclical commodity. However, there is no fundamental reason to believe the bitcoin cycle continues indefinitely. In fact there is ample reason to believe it finds its intrinsic value of 0 eventually.
We've likely already passed peak market saturation. CNBC has been pumping the coin for years now, it has its own ETF, ponzi scheme companies like (Micro)Strategy cashed in big, everyone and their mother has heard of it. Be happy you made whatever you did and buy something of value.
The AI industry has already proven itself to be full of smoke and mirrors. It is at Elon Musk levels of bsing, so I am putting it in the "just another 10 years bro" category.
So far the experiments where they used coding agents to try and build something serious were predictably awful. They had agents try to autonomously build a web browser, and it just ripped off code from a known open source browser and made a mess of it. They regurgitate, they can follow old instructions (imperfectly), they can summarize consensus views, but they don't think.
The singularity can think and reason, if it were to ever exist, which is not guaranteed.
EDIT: And speaking of Elon Musk he's at the forefront of pushing the autonomy hype. Do I even need to list his many lies? Why should I trust these charlatan's when they say "we're so scared of the AI we've created!"?
Every year they claim to be freaked out over the latest tool. A couple years ago it was "Devin the autonomous software engineer". What happened there? Right it was a bunch of hype that didn't work.
But every year I must accept that "this time is different, we're telling the truth now"
There is a phrase about "who can make war with the Beast". Some believe this to be about the anti-Christ himself others the empire he controls. People are in awe / fear of the power of the Beast.
In terms of compliance, look at covid. Gates already said they plan to play that game again, and that started under Trump. Plenty of compliance, unfortunately. Doesn't have to be out of love for Trump.
Then again, maybe you're right and someone more likeable comes along first. Bad cop then good cop.