Whodunnit? That is the question. - Conspiracies

Whodunnit? That is the question. (twitter.com)

posted 1 year ago by no_public_id 1 year ago by no_public_id +13 / -0

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– Vlad_The_Impaler 3 points 1 year ago +4 / -1

In statistics we used to discuss monte carlo simulation.

I think it required trying to consider every possible variable and simulate how every variable or choice or decision or option effects an end result. Powerful computers required to calculate every possible variable. But if variables are infinite or there are not defined parameters then the calculation times out or the computer overloads itself trying to calculate it all.

Or to speak to Excel programmers, =if(If(if(if(if(if(if(if(if(if(if(if))))))))))))))))

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– TallestSkil 1 point 1 year ago +3 / -2

But if variables are infinite or there are not defined parameters

How about “Ukraine has already used successfully HIMARS against the dam’s locks but ‘is hoping they won’t have to blow the whole thing’ as a last resort”? That should narrow the range of variables.

Kovalchuk considered flooding the river. The Ukrainians, he said, even conducted a test strike with a HIMARS launcher on one of the floodgates at the Nova Kakhovka dam, making three holes in the metal to see if the Dnieper’s water could be raised enough to stymie Russian crossings but not flood nearby villages. The test was a success, Kovalchuk said, but the step remained a last resort. He held off.

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