First off, the article says that those involved in traffic accidents are note likely to be unvaccinated, but the study states that 25% of the crashes involved an unvaccinated person.
Second, the 78% increased risk is brought down to 48% when adjusted for other factors like age, because a lot of young people didn't get the vaxx and young people are more likely to get into accidents.
But most importantly, the factor that wasn't mentioned at all, is that the data was collected during lockdowns. The people who complied weren't driving, while the people who didn't comply continued commuting to work.
SO they didn't even consider that many more unvaccinated drivers were on the road during that time, far more than the 16% of their sample which was based on those who had accidents in 2021.
If we estimate any reasonable ratio of unvaxxed to vaxxed drivers, than the data shows the unvaccinated as LESS likely to get into an accident.
A total of 11,270,763 individuals were included, of whom 16% had not received a COVID vaccine and 84% had received a COVID vaccine. The cohort accounted for 6682 traffic crashes during follow-up. Unvaccinated individuals accounted for 1682 traffic crashes (25%), equal to a 72% increased relative risk compared with those vaccinated (95% confidence interval, 63-82; P < 0.001). The increased traffic risks among unvaccinated individuals extended to diverse subgroups, was similar to the relative risk associated with sleep apnea, and was equal to a 48% increase after adjustment for age, sex, home location, socioeconomic status, and medical diagnoses (95% confidence interval, 40-57; P < 0.001). The increased risks extended across the spectrum of crash severity, appeared similar for Pfizer, Moderna, or other vaccines, and were validated in supplementary analyses of crossover cases, propensity scores, and additional controls.
Study is bunk and I'll tell you why
First off, the article says that those involved in traffic accidents are note likely to be unvaccinated, but the study states that 25% of the crashes involved an unvaccinated person.
Second, the 78% increased risk is brought down to 48% when adjusted for other factors like age, because a lot of young people didn't get the vaxx and young people are more likely to get into accidents.
But most importantly, the factor that wasn't mentioned at all, is that the data was collected during lockdowns. The people who complied weren't driving, while the people who didn't comply continued commuting to work.
SO they didn't even consider that many more unvaccinated drivers were on the road during that time, far more than the 16% of their sample which was based on those who had accidents in 2021.
If we estimate any reasonable ratio of unvaxxed to vaxxed drivers, than the data shows the unvaccinated as LESS likely to get into an accident.