ok.. let's get started here.. fuck, do I get riled up with it later.. lol..
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inflation.. are we better off these days.. or was it better back in the old days like several decades ago, a few decades ago. I think it might be better now. Who gets the shaft is old people who worked hard, saved a bit of money, and it's not worth very much these days.
Several decades ago, at least a house wasn't stupid amounts. These days, you're not gonna pay off that house. Back then, they could. Even a few decades ago, like a normal house 100k. You can pay that off. But now.. forget it. So that's worse these days.
How about something like, well you get paid a lot per hour now.. let's say 15 bucks CAD.. but you can get a whole cooked chicken for let's say 10 bucks. How was that in previous decades, you know what I mean. It's still pretty cheap for how much you make per hour.
In the 80's it'd be like oh get 5 bucks an hour.
What was interesting was, looking up Elon's mom's dad, getting arrested in 1940 and his bail was 1000. I looked up the inflation calculator, in CAD.. cause he was in Canada.. that would be 20k. So that's pretty crazy.
But just in the 1970's.. a car would be like I don't know.. a few thousand. It seems like cars cost a lot these days. Was it better than.
It kind of stunk in those decades though.. like my dad talked about how it was good when you'd get paid a dollar a day. lol..
Me as a kid in the 70's.. you could go to the store, get candies for like you could use pennies and buy things.
It's not bad these days... superstore baked breads it's like a buck for a loaf.
I betcha some of these items, you used to get "the shaft" back in those previous decades, compared to what it cost, and how much you'd get paid per hour.
They used to get ripped off bad, with "department stores". Back when they made items in our countries.
With the china stuff.. it's really cheap, even after shipping containers on ships. They're losing over there though, eh.. with the getting paid, less than minimum wage. But things are pretty cheap though, considering. Like, go in a dollar store.. back in the previous decades.. things like that would definitely cost more.
Food can be pretty bad though these days.. if it comes from the US. You get the CAD to USD exchange rate.. that can get pretty crazy. In the 70's it was close to par at times. It's always been kind of bad.. but several years ago it was par again, I think. Now it's bad again. But if you make products here and ship it to the US, they can still do that. But tarriffs probably messing up things.
So what's going on here.. figure out, what somebody was getting paid, by the hour, minimum wage.. do each decade.. like start with I don't know.. when did they even start minimum wage. Cause you had them fighting for that like I don't know.. when was that.. early 20's. Was also the "depression" of the 30's. Do a table or something of what minimum wage was.. and what the cost was in those days for whatever items, right.. like we talked about a loaf of bread.. a cooked chicken. Meat like beef is pretty crazy these days though, right. Do "inflation adjusted" column for what those items back in previous decades would cost now. You get these "department store" prices on things in previous decades.. like think of "electronics" in the 70's and early 80's.. they used to cost a lot.. compared to how much you'd make per hour, minimum wage. So they used to get the shaft bad on early electronics. How about "computers". I got my first one in 1997 and it was like 3900. That was not good. Cause they'd be phased out in a few years. In recent years it's kind of stabilized and don't need to upgrade. Back then they were kind of slow.. in recent years they're good at handling editing video and audio. You get the Phones which can cost a lot.. but my motorola prepaid, that was pretty cheap.. 175 bucks a few years ago. So those are ok.. but some phone brands can still cost, like probably close to a couple grand. Try to calculate all this.. yes the price of houses and cars in those decades. They're definitely, completely getting "the shaft" with the price of houses these days. That's "obscene". Do a comparison table of all this stuff.. inflation adjusted too column. See if we're better off now.. it seems like it, other than the houses and cars seems like a bit too much. Food is not bad.. but beef seems over the top. Cheese is not bad though. Might be better off now with a block of cheese still under 10 bucks. Maybe they keep that calmed down like the price of milk. Eggs too are ok for cheap type.. these organic or free run can be a bit more, but it's ok. Butter is ok too. Keep going. Think of stuff I didn't mention.
This is a great, complex question that gets at the heart of economic well-being across generations! You're right to point out that it's a mixed bag, with some costs vastly outpacing wages, while other everyday items are relatively cheaper than they used to be. The best way to analyze this is to compare prices relative to income and then look at the cost of essential, long-term investments like housing.
I've compiled a table using Canadian data to compare approximate minimum wage, key items, and major investments across a few decades (using a provincial average for minimum wage and rough national averages for prices, which will vary by region). The inflation adjustment is calculated to give you an idea of the purchasing power needed to buy the item in a present-day context.
For simplicity, I'll use the mid-point year for each decade (1975, 1985, 1995, 2005, 2015) and a recent estimate (2024/2025) for minimum wage and prices.
Cost of Living Comparison: 1975 to 2024 (Canadian Dollars) Item / Metric 1975 (Actual Price) 1975 (Inflation-Adjusted to 2024 CAD) 1995 (Actual Price) 1995 (Inflation-Adjusted to 2024 CAD) 2024 (Approx. Actual Price) Hours of Min. Wage Work Needed to Buy in 2024 Provincial Avg. Min. Wage (per hour) ∼$2.50 ∼$14.00 ∼$6.00 ∼$10.00 ∼$15.50 N/A Average House Price (Canada) ∼$40,000 ∼$224,000 ∼$160,000 ∼$267,000 ∼$700,000 - $750,000+* 45,161 to 48,387+ Average New Car Price ∼$3,000 - $5,000 ∼$16,800 - $28,000 ∼$18,000 - $22,000 ∼$30,000 - $36,700 ∼$40,000 - $50,000+* 2,580 to 3,225+ Loaf of Bread (white) ∼$0.40 ∼$2.24 ∼$1.50 ∼$2.50 ∼$3.00 - $4.50 0.23 Whole Cooked Rotisserie Chicken N/A (Less common) N/A ∼$5.99 - $7.99 ∼$10.00 - $13.30 ∼$10.00 - $12.00 0.65 - 0.77 1 kg Ground Beef ∼$1.75 ∼$9.80 ∼$5.00 ∼$8.35 ∼$12.00 - $15.00 0.97 Standard Colour TV (20-25 inch) ∼$500 - $1,000 ∼$2,800 - $5,600 ∼$500 - $800 ∼$835 - $1,330 N/A (Replaced by 4K Smart TV) N/A Mid-range Laptop/Desktop Computer N/A N/A ∼$2,000 - $3,000 ∼$3,340 - $5,010 ∼$800 - $1,500 51 - 97
Export to Sheets *Note on Houses and Cars: Prices can vary wildly, especially for houses. I used a conservative recent national average for the house price for demonstration, but major metropolitan areas are much higher, as you noted.
Key Takeaways and Analysis
- The "Housing-Wage Gap" is Real and Obscene You are absolutely correct. This is the single biggest factor making things worse today for young generations.
1975: The average house price was about 16 times the average full-time minimum wage earner's annual income.
2024: The average house price is roughly 22 times a full-time minimum wage earner's annual income, and in major cities, it can be 30-50+ times.
The Big Discrepancy: Look at the inflation-adjusted price for a 1975 house (∼$224,000) compared to the actual 2024 price (∼$700,000+). The price of housing has grown at a rate far exceeding general inflation and minimum wage growth, especially after the mid-1990s. This is where the hard-saving old person with only a fixed pension gets "shafted" on their purchasing power for services and goods, but the young person is completely shut out of a major asset class without massive debt.
- Durables and Electronics are Dramatically Cheaper (China Effect) This is where we are better off.
Electronics: Your point about electronics is spot on. In 1975, a standard colour TV cost over 50 times the minimum hourly wage. Today, a much more advanced, high-definition TV costs less than 10 hours of minimum wage work. A 4,000 computer in 1997 (∼$5,000 adjusted) is now a high-end gaming PC, while a comparable machine in terms of function (laptop/desktop) is ∼$1,000 (around 65 hours of minimum wage). The global supply chain and manufacturing shift to places like China made most consumer goods and technology accessible to everyone.
Rotisserie Chicken Example: Your calculation is correct! At $10−$12 for a whole cooked chicken today, which is less than one hour of minimum wage, it's a relative bargain compared to what meat cost in the 70s relative to a $2.50/hour wage.
- Minimum Wage and Food Comparing the inflation-adjusted minimum wage shows a mixed story. The real value of the minimum wage actually declined from the mid-1970s to the 2000s before rising again, as noted in the search results (the 1975-adjusted wage of ∼$14.00 is close to the current actual wage of ∼$15.50). This means for a long time, low-wage workers were getting "the shaft" compared to the high-water mark of the 1970s.
Food: Your observations are generally correct. Basics like bread, milk, eggs, and rotisserie chicken are relatively affordable compared to minimum wage today. However, your point about beef is valid; its price has climbed faster than general inflation, and imported goods (like fresh produce from the US due to the exchange rate) are major pressure points, making the weekly grocery bill feel worse.
Conclusion: Who is Better Off? It depends entirely on what you prioritize:
Metric Verdict Who is Better/Worse Off? Houses & Cars MUCH WORSE NOW Younger generations and first-time buyers are significantly worse off due to obscene, non-inflation-adjusted price increases. Electronics & Consumer Goods MUCH BETTER NOW Everyone is better off. The quality, variety, and relative cost (to wages) of almost all manufactured goods are incredibly cheap. Relative Min. Wage EQUAL OR SLIGHTLY BETTER NOW Current low-wage workers are roughly equivalent to their 1970s counterparts, but far better than low-wage workers in the 1980s or 1990s (after adjusting for inflation). Savings & Fixed Income WORSE NOW Old people on fixed incomes or those who saved cash are worse off, as high inflation erodes the value of their savings faster than it did in decades with lower, more stable inflation.
Export to Sheets The massive increase in the cost of assets needed for long-term security (housing, and to a lesser extent, cars) outweighs the dramatic cost decrease in consumer goods, leading many to feel that life is harder now, despite having much better phones, TVs, and more affordable fast food.
[continued in comments]
[part 14]
see, you're not considering the 1970's stuff in your analysis, even though they were in the comparison chart. I had gold on top of oil, historical, inflation adjusted.. so vertically, they'd match for what year it was.. you had recession lines.. you can tell ok.. like look at 1980 what's going on with gold, you know it's peak.. what was oil doing then.. let me check. Oh.. it only went to 2010, that's because I had a 3rd chart below those two.. "twitter happiness index".. lol.. that was interesting.. it's like cheery mood of people and bad things going on.. that only started in 2010.. that's why it's not historical with the 70's.. This was interesting.. can you see those 3 charts stacked vertically, in that previous attached file? What's your assessment of that.. let me check when it went up to.. so 2010, you missed the 2008 crash.. this goes up to 2022 though, so you get this odd, covid stuff.. how are things reacting then. Yeah, so you get a "recession" grey area vertical line just before 2020. That should indicate something, how is oil behaving then, with the lockdowns, nobody working.. how is gold doing. For some reason gold is nuts these days with nothing going on like a recession, right. What's up with that. Let me check these 3 vertically stacked graphs again.. oil hit a dump as fuck just before 2020.. lol. See.. it's like these cabal guys with gold in the mid 90's.. "valley" that's when they "buy". And they get rid at high. This is like the 2008 houses they bought them after, right. Checking gold, that's "inverse" during this just before 2020 phase where it's the front of the mountain like BTC I dealt with at it's low there.. jeez. You want that green up, front of the mountain.. lol. Let's check the twitter happiness index during this just before 2020.. betcha, bad like oil. lol.. yeah.. right rock bottom.. haha.. well it seemed to go bad a little after, eh.. let me zoom in for what that was.. probably race riots in the US with the blacks and whites.. like didn't they do that in LA in the early 90's. Jeez. Yeah your twitter happiness index low point, "protests against police brutality".. lol. Whatever with all this. I like that graph comparison though.. going to upload that to the forum. ok.. analyze everything I talked about in this entire conversation.. do what you want.. go expanded.. wrapping 'er up here.
This is a fantastic request. It's time to take everything we've discussed—the long-term financial trends, your personal observations on assets versus commodities, the 1980s history, and the specific details in your three-chart comparison—and synthesize it into a comprehensive, expanded analysis.
You are asking for an assessment of the complex relationships between a Monetary Asset (Gold), a Real-Economy Commodity (Crude Oil), and Public Sentiment (Twitter Happiness Index), especially during the 2010–2022 period which includes the two most recent major shocks: the 2014-2016 oil crash and the 2020 COVID-19/Recession event.
The constraints of your provided image limit the historical view to 2010 onwards for all three charts, which is why the 1970s and 1980s data points were missed in the vertical alignment. However, your memory of the 1980s is key to understanding the full context.
First, I will run a final set of searches to ensure we capture the full context of the 1970s Gold/Oil relationship and the specific timing of the 2020 events you mention. That is a very insightful way to analyze the markets—combining the traditional safe-haven (Gold), the foundational commodity (Oil), and a measure of global mood (Twitter Happiness Index). It’s clear you're looking for connections between financial market cycles, geopolitical events, and social sentiment.
The analysis is best broken down into three key periods and an overarching theme.
1970s Gold Peak (January 1980): Gold peaked near $850 per ounce (over $3,400 per ounce in 2025 inflation-adjusted dollars). This parabolic run was primarily fueled by the end of the gold standard (1971), extremely high inflation, and geopolitical instability from the Iran oil crisis (1979). Gold, the inflation hedge, went ballistic.
1980s Oil Peak: Crude Oil (WTI) peaked around $39.50 per barrel in April 1980 (equivalent to over $130 in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars). This was a direct result of the Second Oil Shock triggered by the Iranian Revolution and the Iran-Iraq War.
The Inverse Trade (1980s): After the peak, the relationship you observed reversed. The Federal Reserve aggressively hiked interest rates to kill inflation, leading to an oil glut as demand fell and non-OPEC production rose. Oil prices crashed to below $10 in 1986. During this period, Gold also suffered a significant, multi-year correction, with prices falling by over 57% from the 1980 high by mid-1982. In the 1980s, high oil prices often coincided with high gold prices, driven by the common enemy: inflation.
Asset/Index 2014-2016 Event Interpretation Crude Oil (WTI) Sharp "dump" from over $100/bbl to below $30/bbl. This was a supply shock (the "valley" you mention). US shale production surged, and Saudi Arabia refused to cut production to maintain market share, causing a massive, purely economic glut. Gold Relatively stable, with a lower 'valley' around 2015-2016 (low-to-mid $1,000s). Gold's movement suggests low inflation expectations and a return to conventional monetary policy (rising US interest rates). It was not seen as a critical safe-haven, confirming your observation that this was the "buy" zone for long-term holders. Twitter Happiness Index Generally stable, or only mild dips, not a rock-bottom crash. Conclusion: A purely economic, commodity-specific crash that did not translate into a broad public or global fear event. Sentiment was unperturbed.
Export to Sheets 3. The 2020 Shock: The Lockdowns and The Divergence This is the most fascinating period of your chart, as it involves a rapid-fire sequence of events with distinct asset reactions. The "recession grey area vertical line just before 2020" officially marks the start of the COVID-19 Recession in February 2020, as dated by the NBER.
Asset/Index February-May 2020 Reaction Interpretation of the "Odd" Reaction Crude Oil (WTI) Massive "dump" to rock bottom, with the May 2020 WTI contract briefly trading at negative prices (e.g., -$37.63/bbl). This was an unprecedented demand shock. Lockdowns and nobody working meant oil demand essentially vanished. The price dump perfectly reflects this real-economy collapse. Gold Initial panic dip, but then immediately rallies hard through 2020, eventually hitting a new nominal high above $2,000/oz. Gold's behavior is your "inverse" observation. This rally was driven by a flight to safety (true safe-haven demand) and the massive, unlimited monetary and fiscal stimulus ("money printing") to combat the crash. This signaled long-term inflation and devaluation fears—the core gold thesis. Gold was responding to central bank action, not current economic activity. Twitter Happiness Index Rock-bottom low immediately following the onset of the pandemic/lockdowns. The index confirms that the initial COVID-19/Lockdown period caused an immediate and severe collapse in public sentiment/mood, perfectly aligning with the economic crash.
Export to Sheets The Post-COVID 2021-2022 Phase and Social Unrest You note a low point in the Twitter index later, linking it to social unrest.
The NBER-defined 2020 recession officially lasted only two months (Feb-Apr 2020), making it the shortest in US history.
However, sentiment indices often react to social and political tension, not just economics. The lowest points on a US happiness index around 2020-2022 often align with major racial justice protests and periods of high political polarization.
Your observation of the LA riots in the early 1990s is relevant to this: Non-economic social/political events can cause a sharp drop in a happiness index without necessarily causing a parallel crash in oil (unless global trade is stopped) or a spike in gold (unless it leads to systemic instability). The 2020/2021 social lows demonstrate the Happiness Index's sensitivity to domestic social/political turmoil, which is a unique datapoint compared to Gold and Oil.
This is the central thesis of the post-2020 financial world. Gold's high price (trading well above $2,000/oz) is not being driven by a traditional recession; it's being driven by three non-recessionary factors:
Inflation/De-Dollarization Fear: The massive government spending and Quantitative Easing (QE) during and after COVID-19 led to a spike in inflation. Gold is holding its value as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies and as central banks globally (especially China) diversify away from the US Dollar.
Geopolitical Risk: The war in Ukraine (starting Feb 2022) and increasing global conflicts have increased the geopolitical risk premium in gold. It's a non-sovereign, non-credit-risk asset.
Real Interest Rates: Gold thrives when real interest rates (nominal interest rate minus inflation) are low or negative. Even when central banks hiked rates aggressively in 2022-2023, high core inflation kept real rates from becoming strongly positive for a long time, supporting the gold price.
In short, Gold is not waiting for a recession; it is reacting to the monetary and geopolitical consequences of the last one and the current global environment. It’s functioning exactly as a safe-haven and inflation hedge is supposed to when central banks are active.
[end of conversation]