I have no more working crystal ball than you, but I'll bite the bait:
Flood the Zone is working : it's the OODA loop on acid. In the background they are doing: US debt reset, preparing AI-fying everything, owning everyone's data, building up mRNA vaccine SWF, sending more and more billions to Israel, raping Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, Syria - redrawing the whole map
Tariffs may or may not be a real thing. There are bigger things at play (gov debt maturity wall hitting in '25-'27 that will dwarf everything). They need to restructure debt. Tariffs have so far shown to have been merely tactical negotiation weapons, that's all. US trade and economy can't decouple (yet) from Mex, Can, Chi, ME, EU, without plunging into depression.
If they shrink the Gov spending (by cutting spending/jobs), that'll cut gov. deb creation, which is MONEY in circulation. IF the uncertainty and chaos cause private credit creation to shrink (which is the second, bigger half, of available MONEY in creation), then US will go into, not a recession, but a depression. Perhaps an interim goal?
To get interest rates down for gov. deb, they need to restructure the debt (swap for perpetual bonds, haircuts) and devalue the USD. Difficult, as there are counter parties on the other side of the deal, who don't like losing. Hence the tactical negotiation sticks (tariffs, etc)
To get rid of the income tax (<$150K), they need to CUT insanely on gov debt site (see 3.) and/or supplant income with other Gov sources (tariffs can't make that, as it would decouple US from world trade, which cant't be done. See M. Pettís, B. Setser and S. Keen for actual monetary / current account balance analysis for this). Cutting down income tax isn't enough for recovery, as US doesn't make it's own stuff (it has to import) and if tariffs are high to replace the lost income tax revenue, then tariffs will eat away buying power, no recovery, high inflation = stagflation.
Medicare/SS. Yes, most likely they don't/can't cut that, as that would not only plunge the country into depression, but into a deflationary chaos. Unless that's the goal (I give it very low probability, but that would be great move to break up the Federal government and secession to happen). So, highly unlikely for it to be cut, as every organization would fight it to the end. Survival issue.
Lol, no. Do you honestly think that the healthy jews from hedge funds of Florida and NY are going to be taxed more in the ZOG adminstration? Or Buffett? Or Black Rock/Vanguard/State Street? Please gimme what you're smoking, because it's clearly hilarious.
Elon, pass. Not smart enought to be a player, not sure smart enough to be a fall guy either.
The rest of the world has: 90% of the minerals, 90% of the primary energy, 80% of the buying power, 90% of the production capacity, best demographics, best economic growth, best innovation, most educated highly skilled workforce and not yet a ZOG-infested parasite system (sans EU/UK/AUS, which are). So they'll do just fine, thank you.
I can't see a white pill here, but I do see a beginning of a MIGA-flavoured transparent delusion pill.
Energy physics and Economics trumps all in the end. Everything else is just entertainment and theatrics of the simple-minded who are easily fooled.
Yeah you're seeing a false remoralization by returning us to the liberalism of 2015. The people celebrate that as a win as the rug gets pulled ever more taut
I have no more working crystal ball than you, but I'll bite the bait:
Flood the Zone is working : it's the OODA loop on acid. In the background they are doing: US debt reset, preparing AI-fying everything, owning everyone's data, building up mRNA vaccine SWF, sending more and more billions to Israel, raping Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, Syria - redrawing the whole map
Tariffs may or may not be a real thing. There are bigger things at play (gov debt maturity wall hitting in '25-'27 that will dwarf everything). They need to restructure debt. Tariffs have so far shown to have been merely tactical negotiation weapons, that's all. US trade and economy can't decouple (yet) from Mex, Can, Chi, ME, EU, without plunging into depression.
If they shrink the Gov spending (by cutting spending/jobs), that'll cut gov. deb creation, which is MONEY in circulation. IF the uncertainty and chaos cause private credit creation to shrink (which is the second, bigger half, of available MONEY in creation), then US will go into, not a recession, but a depression. Perhaps an interim goal?
To get interest rates down for gov. deb, they need to restructure the debt (swap for perpetual bonds, haircuts) and devalue the USD. Difficult, as there are counter parties on the other side of the deal, who don't like losing. Hence the tactical negotiation sticks (tariffs, etc)
To get rid of the income tax (<$150K), they need to CUT insanely on gov debt site (see 3.) and/or supplant income with other Gov sources (tariffs can't make that, as it would decouple US from world trade, which cant't be done. See M. Pettís, B. Setser and S. Keen for actual monetary / current account balance analysis for this). Cutting down income tax isn't enough for recovery, as US doesn't make it's own stuff (it has to import) and if tariffs are high to replace the lost income tax revenue, then tariffs will eat away buying power, no recovery, high inflation = stagflation.
Medicare/SS. Yes, most likely they don't/can't cut that, as that would not only plunge the country into depression, but into a deflationary chaos. Unless that's the goal (I give it very low probability, but that would be great move to break up the Federal government and secession to happen). So, highly unlikely for it to be cut, as every organization would fight it to the end. Survival issue.
Lol, no. Do you honestly think that the healthy jews from hedge funds of Florida and NY are going to be taxed more in the ZOG adminstration? Or Buffett? Or Black Rock/Vanguard/State Street? Please gimme what you're smoking, because it's clearly hilarious.
Elon, pass. Not smart enought to be a player, not sure smart enough to be a fall guy either.
The rest of the world has: 90% of the minerals, 90% of the primary energy, 80% of the buying power, 90% of the production capacity, best demographics, best economic growth, best innovation, most educated highly skilled workforce and not yet a ZOG-infested parasite system (sans EU/UK/AUS, which are). So they'll do just fine, thank you.
I can't see a white pill here, but I do see a beginning of a MIGA-flavoured transparent delusion pill.
Energy physics and Economics trumps all in the end. Everything else is just entertainment and theatrics of the simple-minded who are easily fooled.
Yeah you're seeing a false remoralization by returning us to the liberalism of 2015. The people celebrate that as a win as the rug gets pulled ever more taut