Escalation Ladder to (fake but real) WW3 - What comes Next (Herman Kahn "On Escalation", 1965)
(media.conspiracies.win)
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Source: https://archive.org/details/onescalationmeta0000kahn/page/314/mode/2up
The Escalation Ladder model has been used in military and diplomacy studies for the past 60 years and variations of it are being used today (see Figure 1):
https://www.csis.org/analysis/coming-storm-insights-ukraine-about-escalation-modern-war
We are a step or two away from a "Casus beli" type false flag event (clearly the fake attribution of a missile attack on Kiev children's hospital wasn't enough).
After that, it is incessant barrage of justification for war and "measured response against Russia" in the media 24/7, until the public accepts.
Then it's war.
Casus beli attempts within the next 6 months.
If it works, next escalation of war starting in 2025.
Unless they're going to pull some even more crazy shit with Trump in office and this will be an obvious false flag to make people turn on the current government, they'll need to wait for Trump to get into office and probably FF Ukraine and Israel