...it means you're creating a completely untestable, cannot be disproved theory, of why something is happening. It's not smart, it's rather stupid.
Why did Russia go to war with Ukraine? I dunno, but everybody with power got together and agreed that they should, so they did. Why did the 6 swing states all stop counting at 3 am and the GOP not do more about it? I dunno, but everybody with power got together and agreed that it should happen. Why did Epstein get killed? I dunno, but everybody with power got together and agreed that it should happen. Why all the talk about aliens, and why now? I dunno, but everybody in power got together and agreed that aliens is the next thing, before we switch over to Taylor Swift. Why does Elon Musk talk shit about Disney and Bill Gates? I dunno, but they must be faking it because they are powerful and they are reading from a script.
You see how stupid this sounds, and how you sound, if you believe that everything is rigged and that there is not competition among elites, even if they do agree on some things from time to time.
Make a model of reality with predictive power. Make a prediction based on your model, and let's see what happens. I disagree with Gzero on most of his predictions, but at least he's not trying to sound smarter than he actually is by saying it's all from a script.
Duverger's Law
It's about the only "law" of the social sciences. It's so predictive, it's a law as sure as the Newton's 3 laws of motion.
Good one. Actually there are a few other game theoretical ones also. But they are so obvious that they basically just confirm what we already know after casual observation and basic intuition.