Do Elected Officials Even Exist? Who's actually running the government?
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When I was in college in the late 90s (computer science), it was generally accepted that AI Winter was due to the previous AI paths hitting a brick wall and there were no other viable paths (so, of course, there was no interest).
That round of AI hype died down in the 70s, and at the time it mainly consisted of various Prolog systems and AST manipulation in lisp. Once they reached the limits of their capabilities the hype could no longer continue.
Every hype cycle is like that, including this most recent hype cycle with AI (outside of the fact that they are using it to essentially permanently enslave humanity under technocracy).
Same with virtual reality. Remember the hype in the 90s? Then that hit its limit and died for 20 years until Oculus, Vive, Magic Leap, etc. The latest iteration is light years ahead of the 90s tech, but still also not going to meet the hype.
AI hype started back up in the mid 2000s when big data became a thing, and then machine learning naturally followed on when all of that data was now available. I feel like there are a few iterations left in this cycle before it also hits its limit.
However, as I think we are both saying, before it does hit its limit it will be used to convince humanity of its superiority and all of humanity must submit to its guidance (and thus, the fact that there is no real advancement after that point won't matter).
The way I see it, this current round even more so than the others, has little to do with technology and nothing to do with scientific principle. The old saying is, "spot me one miracle and I can prove the rest".
The LLM tech and anything else they care to point their fingers at are only to dazzle the population long enough to get that one free miracle. If you can get headhunters to believe that your Bic lighter is the power of fire given to you by the gods, the real power that gives you is limited only by your imagination.
The key observation of the miracle is apophatic: they carefully fail to define what "AI" is, and never even describe it's distinguishing characteristics. "AI" is that which they point to when they say "AI", having those properties that they declare it to have at that time. None can say differently by definition because, recall, there never was a definition.
So many people talk about occult magic: symbolism and dusty old books and what various fake-ass personas had to say. But they fail to see magic being done right before their eyes in 2023. Seriously, does magic need to be more "real" than what I just described?
Yeah, that's all accurate.
The only point I would highlight is that the current round actually has also been a series of incremental improvements, and is real tech, and is a legit, standard hype cycle curve.
The difference is they are also using this as one of the cornerstones of their magic "show".