Nice analysis, good read. My take is that in the short run, Russia wins the war. In the long run, they come out at least even if the side play on this conflict, ending the petro dollar, comes to pass. I also think there are enough non-American aligned interests, such that Russia will be back to where it was during the Cold War. Granted, the citizens didn't have coca-cola back then either, but they lasted a good 70 years basically as an independent economy. Remove central planning, and they will last longer if that happens.
But there is a lot of money to be made selling stuff to Russia, and inside a decade, they will re-enter the global marketplace.
Doesn't winning the war. An obvious objective, talks are stalling. Won't meet terms. Not yet in any event. In for the long haul. Further committed need the win to prove themselves. Now they're severing ties. Doesn't it embolden further opposition. We are talking about a run off. Shortages. No real front on how to implement even more inflation, like renewables, even EVs production is now hit, but there is a huge demand for their services, oil/gas/agriculture and etc. Plus the hardware on succeeding.
How does it play out. Analytically there's no magic wand for it. Presumption, perhaps it syncs. In the meantime they faster workaround any immediate sanction because of the products demanded. The unrest it causes.
Logically as committed as they are. Aren't the opposition to ensuring they don't. Hence the immediate propaganda and direct military aid. Imagine they have won. It's back to the Cold War. Except it is in support of insurrection, having had that taster, it won't die. And then who is listening as that run off above continues to spill.
I like unicorns too. But unfortunately. Unless they carved up a better plan. It's gonna get a lot uglier quicker.
Nice analysis, good read. My take is that in the short run, Russia wins the war. In the long run, they come out at least even if the side play on this conflict, ending the petro dollar, comes to pass. I also think there are enough non-American aligned interests, such that Russia will be back to where it was during the Cold War. Granted, the citizens didn't have coca-cola back then either, but they lasted a good 70 years basically as an independent economy. Remove central planning, and they will last longer if that happens.
But there is a lot of money to be made selling stuff to Russia, and inside a decade, they will re-enter the global marketplace.
They will have coca cola just coke wont get royalties
Good point.
Thanks, nice reply.
Doesn't winning the war. An obvious objective, talks are stalling. Won't meet terms. Not yet in any event. In for the long haul. Further committed need the win to prove themselves. Now they're severing ties. Doesn't it embolden further opposition. We are talking about a run off. Shortages. No real front on how to implement even more inflation, like renewables, even EVs production is now hit, but there is a huge demand for their services, oil/gas/agriculture and etc. Plus the hardware on succeeding.
How does it play out. Analytically there's no magic wand for it. Presumption, perhaps it syncs. In the meantime they faster workaround any immediate sanction because of the products demanded. The unrest it causes.
Logically as committed as they are. Aren't the opposition to ensuring they don't. Hence the immediate propaganda and direct military aid. Imagine they have won. It's back to the Cold War. Except it is in support of insurrection, having had that taster, it won't die. And then who is listening as that run off above continues to spill.
I like unicorns too. But unfortunately. Unless they carved up a better plan. It's gonna get a lot uglier quicker.