I have some food stored away, enough for a few months that I rotate out as it ages. But it's for emergencies, not EOTWAWKI.
Thing is, staples are still so cheap, relatively speaking, and food so currently plentiful, that I find this very difficult to believe.
What may happen, is a Camp of Saints like famine in very marginal regions, because existing and future supply will be allocated, via the market, to places that can afford to pay more, which is the developed world.
Growing crops is only a small part of food cost 3x production costs are meaningless.
Why do you think small time farmers have all gone out of business, you need enormous economies of scale to make a profit.
Or get in to one of those direct field to consumer schemes.
Most of the money is tacked on later down in the production line.
1 tonne of wheat is $250
a loaf of bread is $2.5
you can make ~750000 loafs of bread out of that tonne of wheat
So even if that tonne of wheat suddenly costs $1000 to produce...
The fertilizer thing shouldn't be that much of a problem either if it's used wisely.
Ban the use of chemical fertilizers for domestic use and that demand is more than halved.
I have some food stored away, enough for a few months that I rotate out as it ages. But it's for emergencies, not EOTWAWKI.
Thing is, staples are still so cheap, relatively speaking, and food so currently plentiful, that I find this very difficult to believe.
What may happen, is a Camp of Saints like famine in very marginal regions, because existing and future supply will be allocated, via the market, to places that can afford to pay more, which is the developed world.
If this doesn't have to be, if we stop growing corn for cattle feed and bio fuel there is more than enough to grow calories for human consumption.
Growing crops is only a small part of food cost 3x production costs are meaningless. Why do you think small time farmers have all gone out of business, you need enormous economies of scale to make a profit. Or get in to one of those direct field to consumer schemes.
Most of the money is tacked on later down in the production line. 1 tonne of wheat is $250 a loaf of bread is $2.5 you can make ~750000 loafs of bread out of that tonne of wheat So even if that tonne of wheat suddenly costs $1000 to produce...
The fertilizer thing shouldn't be that much of a problem either if it's used wisely. Ban the use of chemical fertilizers for domestic use and that demand is more than halved.
Any day now!