It's good to be skeptical. Simple folk want one theory, but it's more scientific to be open minded to all theories which haven't been logically ruled out (I got called a disinfo agent yesterday for doing that, lol).

Regarding Ukraine, I think u/CrazyRussian 's theory fits well (you can find it in my comments from today here).

You can expect more attacks on globalism narrative from Russia/China/non-Western countries (eg: u/pkvi 's recent post), and moving into their own trading bloc.