Assuming the 2/5 odds are true, assuming random odds at each shot, and 2 shots and a booster, there would be 6% change to get only saline and no live rounds.
They look up your information, each person is assigned a rating and that determines the type of shot you get. Likely based on genetics, profession, ethnicity, et al.
They have no way to cull the herd with tests or intelligence, so they have come up with a lottery of sorts.
Also, the birth certificate registry ended in 1999, this is the replacement for that program.
Here's what I think is going on: I think the first round of shots were saline (the early shots), then as people got more comfortable with no reactions, they started putting in the dirty shots and called them "boosters" - because their efficacy was so low, they created mutant strains (similar to what a weak antibiotic would do with bacteria). That created Delta, which then provided the need for everyone to get another booster, which I think will be 100% dirty. Stay away from the vaccine at all costs!
Assuming the 2/5 odds are true, assuming random odds at each shot, and 2 shots and a booster, there would be 6% change to get only saline and no live rounds.
wut
It would be:
chance for first shot AND second shot to be saline = (2/5)*(2/5) = (4/25) = 16%
chance for one to be saline, one to be live = (2/5)*(3/5)*2 = (12/25) = 48%
chance for both shots to be live = (3/5)*(3/5) = (9/25) = 36%
Literal Russian roulette odds. 16% of dying. Vax odds 16% of living. Crazy.
It has nothing to do with randomness.
They look up your information, each person is assigned a rating and that determines the type of shot you get. Likely based on genetics, profession, ethnicity, et al.
They have no way to cull the herd with tests or intelligence, so they have come up with a lottery of sorts.
Also, the birth certificate registry ended in 1999, this is the replacement for that program.
and some guy at walgreens is doing the sorting/checking the lists or wtf?
also what about pop up clinics where you’re literally showing up out of the blue?
you haven’t thought this through.
So this is where it gets interesting. Enter booster dose regime .
What are the odds now?
Here's what I think is going on: I think the first round of shots were saline (the early shots), then as people got more comfortable with no reactions, they started putting in the dirty shots and called them "boosters" - because their efficacy was so low, they created mutant strains (similar to what a weak antibiotic would do with bacteria). That created Delta, which then provided the need for everyone to get another booster, which I think will be 100% dirty. Stay away from the vaccine at all costs!
Bro just do the same calcs please !
What will be the odds if we add one booster now (i.e. a third dose)?
It's ok if you cannot calculate that; I can't