Here's what I think is going on: I think the first round of shots were saline (the early shots), then as people got more comfortable with no reactions, they started putting in the dirty shots and called them "boosters" - because their efficacy was so low, they created mutant strains (similar to what a weak antibiotic would do with bacteria). That created Delta, which then provided the need for everyone to get another booster, which I think will be 100% dirty. Stay away from the vaccine at all costs!
Here's what I think is going on: I think the first round of shots were saline (the early shots), then as people got more comfortable with no reactions, they started putting in the dirty shots and called them "boosters" - because their efficacy was so low, they created mutant strains (similar to what a weak antibiotic would do with bacteria). That created Delta, which then provided the need for everyone to get another booster, which I think will be 100% dirty. Stay away from the vaccine at all costs!
Bro just do the same calcs please !
What will be the odds if we add one booster now (i.e. a third dose)?
It's ok if you cannot calculate that; I can't
Oh, it would be:
All saline = (2/5)^3 = 8/125 = 6.4%
2 saline, 1 dirty = (2/5)^2*(3/5)*3 = 36/125 = 28.8%
2 dirty, 1 saline = (3/5)^2*(2/5)*3 = 54/125 = 42.3%
all dirty = (3/5)^3 = 27/125 = 21.6%
You are a star