Republican support for Donald Trump running again in 2024 falls to just 45%
(www.dailymail.co.uk)
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Difference is Biden's approval rating is both liberal and conservative. Trump's support at 45% just from GOP is tough.
I do suspect he'll get the nomination if he's not convicted of tax, insurance and bank fraud in the NY investigation and he decides to run again. He had less support in the primaries before 2016 but because the field was so wide, he made it through.