It is a much larger geopolitical war. And it is a conflict that is a serving agenda by driving change. Outside of this it was easily provoked begging the obvious. Did they want to fight Russia directly or simply contain Russia and using that opportunity to enlist sudden change. Look at the market, recession, new emerging technology, renewables, and supposed methods. While at the same time drawing out this conflict and prompting it.

How it plays out. A peace deal must be offered. Otherwise it could escalate into nuclear conflict. But a peace deal is no where in the making and even if there is some temporary peace it could still cause war later. A peace deal presently must recognise Ukraine isn't what it think it is territorially. Otherwise there is war. A peace deal must look to stop all aggression later.

Ukraine could never make that deal. It will arm and fight for its entire territory while it is armed. Russia will not lose the Crimea, or any present oblasts now under its sovereignty.

It was aggressive Nato expansion that caused this conflict, and bad Russian policy losing its own former allies.