Taiwan isn't Ukraine. Taking it, potentially goes hot. Nukes. Because they'd have to completely dominate the South China Sea, by firing on strike groups. But if they're attempting, it would have to be favourable, either during a larger collapse, or from a larger diversion. China isn't Russia. It hasn't won many wars. It tends to only win them from advantage. Taiwan an island is much heavier fortified, taking it, becomes political, or it cripples defenses flattening most of the population in the process on an island. Hot.