Replacing Brandon with another Sock Puppet (90% probability)
A Cyber Attack on Energy, Transport or Finance infrastructure (they haven't played this yet) (60% probability)
Two more serious variants of concern and associated increased restrictions, protests and things will get worse (high probability)
OR
COVID fizzles and they roll out something "worse" on the pandemic front (low probability)
More climate scare mongering when anything natural disaster related happens (99.9999% probability)
Serious stock markets (near global) correction of 20% or more (90 probability), but recovery after that due to more printing, yield curve control, etc.
More persistent inflation that starts to be seen in actual consumer prices other than just housing and energy (99% probability)
Replacing Brandon with another Sock Puppet (90% probability)
A Cyber Attack on Energy, Transport or Finance infrastructure (they haven't played this yet) (60% probability)
Two more serious variants of concern and associated increased restrictions, protests and things will get worse (high probability)
OR
COVID fizzles and they roll out something "worse" on the pandemic front (low probability)
More climate scare mongering when anything natural disaster related happens (99.9999% probability)
Serious stock markets (near global) correction of 20% or more (90 probability), but recovery after that due to more printing, yield curve control, etc.
More persistent inflation that starts to be seen in actual consumer prices other than just housing and energy (99% probability)
So a slow squeeze of more of the same.
I think covid is the excuse for longer term inflation and cyber is excuse in case short term correction occurs