I'm already familiar with the solar clock cycle hypothesis.
It's just not supported in the geological records as an event of the magnitude they pitch it as. Even by their reckoning, homo erectus has already survived it dozens of times and agrarian civilization has survived at least two.
Simply put, it doesn't make a compelling argument as a civilization ending event. It's not even as convincing as a continental scale event compared to Yellowstone (which probably would kill tens of millions), or a technology focused event like a geomagnetic reversal (which would almost certainly wipe out most if not all of our LEO satellites).
Yellowstone WILL happen sometime in the next 50 thousand years or so. The geological record on that is very clear, happens like clockwork. When it does it will wipe out most life east of Chicago in the immediate ash event, followed by a mass famine caused by the collapse of northern hemisphere agriculture, and the ensuing war that will prevoke. Assuming we're still around to fight over it to begin with.
It's just not the big issue he thinks it is. Again, we've survived dozens of them since we started walking, and at least two since we started farming.
Look, I grew up around actual amish. A "disaster" that merely destroys electrical technology is NOT an apocalyptical event. An increase in ambient solar radiation is not catastrophic. Another ICE AGE will not wipe out humanity (although the war it provokes might).
You could be here screeching "billions will die" and I'd still say "but millions will live", and I will calmly take my chances with such odds. Because I've seen what pre-modern life looks like. It's not the end of the fucking world.
I'm already familiar with the solar clock cycle hypothesis.
It's just not supported in the geological records as an event of the magnitude they pitch it as. Even by their reckoning, homo erectus has already survived it dozens of times and agrarian civilization has survived at least two.
Simply put, it doesn't make a compelling argument as a civilization ending event. It's not even as convincing as a continental scale event compared to Yellowstone (which probably would kill tens of millions), or a technology focused event like a geomagnetic reversal (which would almost certainly wipe out most if not all of our LEO satellites).
Yellowstone WILL happen sometime in the next 50 thousand years or so. The geological record on that is very clear, happens like clockwork. When it does it will wipe out most life east of Chicago in the immediate ash event, followed by a mass famine caused by the collapse of northern hemisphere agriculture, and the ensuing war that will prevoke. Assuming we're still around to fight over it to begin with.
They do.
It's just not the big issue he thinks it is. Again, we've survived dozens of them since we started walking, and at least two since we started farming.
Look, I grew up around actual amish. A "disaster" that merely destroys electrical technology is NOT an apocalyptical event. An increase in ambient solar radiation is not catastrophic. Another ICE AGE will not wipe out humanity (although the war it provokes might).
You could be here screeching "billions will die" and I'd still say "but millions will live", and I will calmly take my chances with such odds. Because I've seen what pre-modern life looks like. It's not the end of the fucking world.