A Cytokine Storm Is Brewing
(media.conspiracies.win)
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Statisticians calculate this stuff all the time based on how many ppl catch various pathogens and how many don't go to the doctor at all or until much later. Lyme disease is a prime example.
Not 100% accurate, but within strong confidence intervals. But yes, stats can be misrepresented easily. Just saying don't throw the baby out with the bathwater. Not all scientists are cabal sheep.
Oh, I dont read news articles lol... I read the long boring journal publications. They're not that complicated when you get the basics down. I always read the abstract first, then skim methods, then discussion. Then results, conclusions, and then intro. Then read it start to finish if the abstract or discussion don't bore me.
Abstract gives a general overview, and discussion should always tell you where they fell short. If it doesn't suck, then the rest of the paper is generally worth the time. If the methods are acceptable in the field, then the results may be reliable. Conclusions are where you find out if their logic is sound and why the data even matters (discussion usually indicates this ahead of time). The intro is formality for the uninitiated and can be boring if you don't care for the history of the project or already know the state of the field.
Fun fact - there's a journal entirely devoted to stats fuckups. Its boring AF. But funny and to your point that proper method and nuances need to be paid attention to carefully. Not everything is a students t test ?