I'll get downvoted for sharing this, but these are just facts and basic math. If you don't believe me, please run the numbers yourself and share your results.
481 covid deaths in January, you can see the explanation on column 7 "All deaths involving influenza with or without Covid-19 or Pneumonia (J09-J11) includes Covid-19 or Pneumonia" Which doesn't explain why there is not data since they took data knowing patients had covid but didn't use the covid as COD because it wasn't the main cause of death but the fact remains that they tested for covid-19 during that time. What is your thought on why the CDC didn't collect data on January, you think it had to do with funding?
Not OP, but the answer to your question is that the CDC is intentionally skewing their analysis. January in all non-2020 years has a much higher weekly death count due to flu season. And 2020 is a strange year because we didn't hit a huge flu death peak in January.
By leaving January out, they can make the death counts for other years look lower while focusing on the worst part of 2020 which peaks in April.
I've spent enough time looking at infuriatingly obtuse CDC data presentations to know that they're making things hard to understand on purpose.
I'm going to fight you on this whenever you bring it up. Your analysis is wrong because you're only tallying the first 47 weeks of each year.
Graphs of weekly death counts for each year -- except for 2020 -- are "U" shaped, meaning that most deaths occur in the first and last weeks of the year. By looking at up to week 47 only, you're leaving out a sizeable portion of deaths which makes 2020 seem much worse than it is.
2020 does not have the weekly death distribution as other years, and this is becoming more obvious as the year is wrapping up.
Yeah exactly, missing most of January. I appreciate your input too, these are the sort of challenges we should be raising. It's made me all the more interested to revisit this data after the new year.
This source is wrong. I ran the CDC numbers myself (if you don't believe me, you can too!): https://conspiracies.win/p/11R4ufrAqE/x/c/4Drud8p9ej2?d=50
Further discussion here: https://conspiracies.win/p/11R4zMXmse/total-usa-deaths-are-up-by-over-/
I'll get downvoted for sharing this, but these are just facts and basic math. If you don't believe me, please run the numbers yourself and share your results.
Just to give the numbers:
2,855,000 Deaths 2019 CDC https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm
2,835,533 Deaths as of 12/22/20 https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm (Link from OP)
The data at your second link (from OP) does not include most of January
If you read the threads I linked to you will see this explained.
481 covid deaths in January, you can see the explanation on column 7 "All deaths involving influenza with or without Covid-19 or Pneumonia (J09-J11) includes Covid-19 or Pneumonia" Which doesn't explain why there is not data since they took data knowing patients had covid but didn't use the covid as COD because it wasn't the main cause of death but the fact remains that they tested for covid-19 during that time. What is your thought on why the CDC didn't collect data on January, you think it had to do with funding?
Not OP, but the answer to your question is that the CDC is intentionally skewing their analysis. January in all non-2020 years has a much higher weekly death count due to flu season. And 2020 is a strange year because we didn't hit a huge flu death peak in January.
By leaving January out, they can make the death counts for other years look lower while focusing on the worst part of 2020 which peaks in April.
I've spent enough time looking at infuriatingly obtuse CDC data presentations to know that they're making things hard to understand on purpose.
I'm going to fight you on this whenever you bring it up. Your analysis is wrong because you're only tallying the first 47 weeks of each year.
Graphs of weekly death counts for each year -- except for 2020 -- are "U" shaped, meaning that most deaths occur in the first and last weeks of the year. By looking at up to week 47 only, you're leaving out a sizeable portion of deaths which makes 2020 seem much worse than it is.
2020 does not have the weekly death distribution as other years, and this is becoming more obvious as the year is wrapping up.
Can we at least agree that OP's post is wrong and based on flawed analysis of the data?
Yeah definitely agree. That's the error where they're omitting January 2020, right?
Btw, totally respect your perspective and efforts on this. Just disagreeing intellectually. We're on the same side though. :)
Yeah exactly, missing most of January. I appreciate your input too, these are the sort of challenges we should be raising. It's made me all the more interested to revisit this data after the new year.