There've been a few posts recently about how total deaths in the US this year are down compared to previous years. I was curious, so I ran the numbers myself based on the same CDC data that other posters and their sources supposedly used.
I pulled the last 4 years of weekly raw data from the CDC here: https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html
Then I tallied and compared the totals for the first 47 weeks of each year (these numbers are TOTAL DEATHS FROM ALL CAUSES in the US):
2017 2515944
2018 2551868
2019 2559485
2020 2886361
Based on this data, total deaths are up by over 300,000 this year vs each of the last 3 years, which were each within 50,000 of one another.
Whenever I mention these stats on conspiracies.win I get downvoted, but nobody ever has a response, so I think I'm on to something!
What do you think could've caused this?
OK - since OP got 300k by simply subtracting the three year average of total deaths from 2020 total deaths - AND the excess death calculation from the CDC is 300k deaths - your point is?
Difference is OP's method can be validated by my 11 year old daughter vs excess death calculations which have a large amount of inputs that we can't easily get our hands on to properly calculate the expected deaths.
And in the end, you get the SAME answer!
That's not how excess deaths work.
Excess dearhs = actual deaths less expected deaths
Expected deaths are a calculated number with multiple inputs.
What’s incorrect?