Look at it this way. There is no winning in the first round. There is no losing in the first round. Therefor there is never a 1/3 choice. Switching or not switching in the second round will always give you a 1/2 chance.
I'm also noting that the subversion agent u/free-will-of-choice is AstroTurf-ing this thread. 3 comments with zero interaction. Two of which are not to an active reply. Odd thing for him to do.
Again, please examine the diagram in the "Conditional probability by direct calculation" section.
Note: the diagram shows 8 probable outcomes 1/2 of which are car. This aligns with my "First round doesn't count logic"
Look at it this way. There is no winning in the first round. There is no losing in the first round. Therefor there is never a 1/3 choice. Switching or not switching in the second round will always give you a 1/2 chance.
I'm also noting that the subversion agent u/free-will-of-choice is AstroTurf-ing this thread. 3 comments with zero interaction. Two of which are not to an active reply. Odd thing for him to do.
Again, please examine the diagram in the "Conditional probability by direct calculation" section.
Note: the diagram shows 8 probable outcomes half of which are car. This aligns with my First round doesn't count logic"
Look at it this way. There is no winning in the first round. There is no losing in the first round. Therefor there is never a 1/3 choice. Switching or not switching in the second round will always give you a 1/2 chance.
I'm also noting that the subversion agent u/free-will-of-choice is AstroTurf-ing this thread. 3 comments with zero interaction. Two of which are not to an active reply. Odd thing for him to do.
Again, please examine the diagram in the "Conditional probability by direct calculation" section.
Look at it this way. There is no winning in the first round. There is no losing in the first round. Therefor there is never a 1/3 choice. Switching or not switching in the second round will always give you a 1/2 chance.
I'm also noting that the subversion agent u/free-will-of-choice is AstroTurf-ing this thread. Odd thing for him to do.
Again, please examine the diagram in the "Conditional probability by direct calculation" section.