Bayesian: We admit that bacteria exists -- after all, you can culture them and observe them under light microscopes etc. The real question is whether they are what's making you sick or not.
Consider cholera -- there are many people that have drunk vials of cholera and they... do not get sick. On the other hand, there are African refugees in Burundi, for example, living with dirty water who get sick... and then we find cholera.
Now, assuming that I've not been mislead, this suggests to me that the problem is that the dirty water is making the cholera proliferate. But if the water is clean, then the cholera can't proliferate, so we're unaffected by it.
As an analogy, imagine that I have an open wound on my leg. That's going to attract flies, and if the flies swarm the wound, then it will never heal. So if I can get rid of the flies, I'll see my wound heal much more quickly. This is effectively how we think of antibiotics.
Now, assuming that I've not been mislead, this suggests to me that the problem is that the dirty water is making the cholera proliferate. But if the water is clean, then the cholera can't proliferate, so we're unaffected by it.
You have been mislead. The point is if you are infected by the Cholera bacteria you may get sick, depending on how good your immune system is. That is the Germ Theory.
You are implicitly agreeing with Germ Theory, while at the same time denying it. That pretty much makes you an insane government operative infiltrating us, Glowie.
Manipulating basic conditional probability is lying and I try not to do that.
Instead I try to determine what bullshit artists like you are trying to hide and expose that to the world.
You are trying to hide the dangers of the modern processed food diet, heart disease, cancer, diabetes, obesity, by shifting the discussion to some idiotic anti vaccination, anti antibiotic discussion. Instead of the real 'cure' which is to quit the horrible modern processed food diet. Avoid seed oils and food which isn't high in nutritive value, eat lots of meat and eggs.
Also attenuated virus vaccines are very effective, for some specific viruses. Otherwise boosting our natural immune system is much better, and Ivermectin, Zinc, Vitamin D, can help a lot too. Viruses are obligate parasites.
Oh... sorry, I guess you're very young. Your name is 'Bayesian', so I thought you were familiar with Bayes' Theorem. The explicit statement of Bayes Theorem emerges from considering two statements of 'conditional probability', and then manipulating them -- mathematically -- to generate the explicit statement. I thought that you would know that, given your name.
Your second paragraph: lol!
Your third: Nah, of course I get all of that. And I do eat lots of meat and eggs. I admit that I don't eat viscera because I'm still western!
Fourth: Ah... no vaccine was ever effective at anything useful. You just have to look at the actual numbers. This sounds crazy, but it is, in fact, true. Look what happened, in real time, with Covid. There was no attenuation of death with any vaccine. The best source for this is "dissolving illusions" by Humphries and Bystrianik...
But you'll have to decide whether you trust data or "Vaccines Save Lives" propaganda.
Bayesian: We admit that bacteria exists -- after all, you can culture them and observe them under light microscopes etc. The real question is whether they are what's making you sick or not.
Consider cholera -- there are many people that have drunk vials of cholera and they... do not get sick. On the other hand, there are African refugees in Burundi, for example, living with dirty water who get sick... and then we find cholera.
Now, assuming that I've not been mislead, this suggests to me that the problem is that the dirty water is making the cholera proliferate. But if the water is clean, then the cholera can't proliferate, so we're unaffected by it.
As an analogy, imagine that I have an open wound on my leg. That's going to attract flies, and if the flies swarm the wound, then it will never heal. So if I can get rid of the flies, I'll see my wound heal much more quickly. This is effectively how we think of antibiotics.
Aerotrain
You have been mislead. The point is if you are infected by the Cholera bacteria you may get sick, depending on how good your immune system is. That is the Germ Theory.
You are implicitly agreeing with Germ Theory, while at the same time denying it. That pretty much makes you an insane government operative infiltrating us, Glowie.
Wow... you really don't get basic logic.
Can you even manipulate basic conditional probability to generate Bayes theorem? Press [x] to doubt.
Manipulating basic conditional probability is lying and I try not to do that.
Instead I try to determine what bullshit artists like you are trying to hide and expose that to the world.
You are trying to hide the dangers of the modern processed food diet, heart disease, cancer, diabetes, obesity, by shifting the discussion to some idiotic anti vaccination, anti antibiotic discussion. Instead of the real 'cure' which is to quit the horrible modern processed food diet. Avoid seed oils and food which isn't high in nutritive value, eat lots of meat and eggs.
Also attenuated virus vaccines are very effective, for some specific viruses. Otherwise boosting our natural immune system is much better, and Ivermectin, Zinc, Vitamin D, can help a lot too. Viruses are obligate parasites.
Oh... sorry, I guess you're very young. Your name is 'Bayesian', so I thought you were familiar with Bayes' Theorem. The explicit statement of Bayes Theorem emerges from considering two statements of 'conditional probability', and then manipulating them -- mathematically -- to generate the explicit statement. I thought that you would know that, given your name.
Your second paragraph: lol!
Your third: Nah, of course I get all of that. And I do eat lots of meat and eggs. I admit that I don't eat viscera because I'm still western!
Fourth: Ah... no vaccine was ever effective at anything useful. You just have to look at the actual numbers. This sounds crazy, but it is, in fact, true. Look what happened, in real time, with Covid. There was no attenuation of death with any vaccine. The best source for this is "dissolving illusions" by Humphries and Bystrianik...
But you'll have to decide whether you trust data or "Vaccines Save Lives" propaganda.
Aerotrain