Actuarially, at 158 million purported known cases, the actual likelihood of real cases is increased by a decisive factor of 8, so real cases is nearly 1 25 billion or close to 17% of the world's population. This makes sense given the high incidence of exposure over what appears to be much closer to 2 years. If that us true, then 3.5 million deaths (and those numbers may be exaggerated) we means a real mortality rate of:
2.2% among known infections, but actually only 0.28% and is even far lower than other influenza strains in people under the age of 70.
Actuarially, at 158 million purported known cases, the actual likelihood of real cases is increased by a decisive factor of 8, so real cases is nearly 1 25 billion or close to 17% of the world's population. This makes sense given the high incidence of exposure over what appears to be much closer to 2 years. If that us true, then 3.5 million deaths (and those numbers may be exaggerated) we means a real mortality rate of:
2.2% among known infections, but actually only 0.28% and is even far lower than other influenza strains in people under the age of 70.