Nobody has more to gain from Kirk's death than his so called allies

No, because he was shot young.

at the helm of a widely unpopular government

If that's true, that's because of massive in-action. Not because "muh natalistzzz" or whatever.

Erika Kirk will be at Vance's Presidential run announcement and say they're doing it for Charlie.

Yes. Erika "Kirk" and Palantir Vance, the dynamic duo to control the world and crush dissent against TPTB.

His enemies have nothing to gain from his death.

Don't be silly. Satan and his slaves have one less big Christian to contend with. Non Christians got a yuge boost from his getting murdered. As you can see the anger energy that came from that seems to be dying out more and more.

He was a largely ineffectual public figure

[millions of people]

"ineffectual"

Lol.