Bibhu dev Misra says that we entering the next 200 year transition time this year, so it's a long process
Ben Davidson of SpaceWeatherNews (ex Suspicious0bservers) guesses sometime between 2035-2045ish (he changes the estimate as new data comes in)
EthicalSkeptic hasn't given an exact time prediction (at least, not yet)
Douglas Vogt (now deceased) of Diehold Foundation gave an exact month of October 2046), but he was a religious text believing jew, and he based his calculation on (forged) jewish fake-ancient texts
So, nobody knows, but many think that we are "within the window" during the next decades or hundred years.
I like Ben Davidson. It could happen tomorrow, but geologically speaking, that could be a hundred years away. I've still made some preparation for it but I don't let it consume my life. Part of my prep is teaching my grandkids how to garden and forage. If enough smart people and tools survive, we could get back to 1930's level pretty quickly
Wise man. If a reset happens to any such degree of scale, duration and severity that has been estimated based on historical geographical evidence, we will be going a lot farther than 1930s.... No industry, no electricity, scant tools, very few resources and no X of any kind at scale (agriculture, health, irrigation, plumbing, electricity, heat, water, etc).
Yes, but I do see the possibility of bouncing back to that level pretty quickly. The progression of technology after that might be only a little faster than building from scratch only if we keep the knowledge safe. Tooling would be the biggest factor in my opinion
Very interesting, but where are we now?
Nobody knows for sure.
Bibhu dev Misra says that we entering the next 200 year transition time this year, so it's a long process
Ben Davidson of SpaceWeatherNews (ex Suspicious0bservers) guesses sometime between 2035-2045ish (he changes the estimate as new data comes in)
EthicalSkeptic hasn't given an exact time prediction (at least, not yet)
Douglas Vogt (now deceased) of Diehold Foundation gave an exact month of October 2046), but he was a religious text believing jew, and he based his calculation on (forged) jewish fake-ancient texts
So, nobody knows, but many think that we are "within the window" during the next decades or hundred years.
I like Ben Davidson. It could happen tomorrow, but geologically speaking, that could be a hundred years away. I've still made some preparation for it but I don't let it consume my life. Part of my prep is teaching my grandkids how to garden and forage. If enough smart people and tools survive, we could get back to 1930's level pretty quickly
Wise man. If a reset happens to any such degree of scale, duration and severity that has been estimated based on historical geographical evidence, we will be going a lot farther than 1930s.... No industry, no electricity, scant tools, very few resources and no X of any kind at scale (agriculture, health, irrigation, plumbing, electricity, heat, water, etc).
Yes, but I do see the possibility of bouncing back to that level pretty quickly. The progression of technology after that might be only a little faster than building from scratch only if we keep the knowledge safe. Tooling would be the biggest factor in my opinion